Smart Risks
Business is all about taking smart risks. Smart risks are the calculated
risks we take to grow wealth within our companies. We must take smart risk
if we hope to maintain an offensive business posture. One of our most important
smart management choices is to focus on smart risks, which we can accomplish
only if we avoid taking dumb risks. A smart risk is a choice made by management – an
action that:
- Advances your strategic or economic position.
- Identifies and manages related risk issues.
- You can afford to lose – meaning that you’re not
betting the whole farm on this risk. But this item is flexible
if you have little or nothing left to lose.
Dumb Risks
In most cases, a smart risk becomes a dumb risk when we ignore that second
item that defines a smart risk. We get in trouble when we ignore risk or
don’t deal with it effectively. Choosing not to effectively manage
risk sets up a business activity that is common in many companies. It’s
called “fire fighting.”
Make no mistake about it. If your company fights fires on a regular basis,
your company has deliberately chosen to embrace a culture of firefighting.
Firefighting is expensive and wasteful. But most firefighting is preventable.
As shown in a recently published 20-year study from USC, companies
that choose to manage risk and related crises – those who choose to proactively
prevent fires instead of fighting them – have 60% fewer fires to fight
and, as a result, enjoy 100% higher Return On Assets when compared to their
reactive counterparts. Click
here to learn more about the study.
What are the most common dumb risks?
They are simple and obvious. These are the risks that we choose to ignore until
the bleeding starts. While there are hundreds of assorted dumb risks, most
of them are created when we don’t reduce our client, supplier, employee
and financial stakeholder risks to survivable levels. You can probably predict
the biggest and most common dumb risk of all – it is not having a plan
for finding and managing risk.
Dumb risks are easy to spot. Many of them are preventable. Of course, not every
risk is preventable but at the very least, their danger can be substantially
reduced so that even if trouble erupts, you can survive it and return quickly
to profitability.
Learn
how to break the cycle of dumb risks that stop businesses from
making money and taking smart risks.
Taking smart risks is my definition of playing offense. Smart risks are the
foundation for building wealth in our companies. Dumb risks get in our way,
distract our focus on profits, bleed off key resources and stop us from taking
smart risks. While the opportunity for taking smart risks is often brief and
always temporary, the danger from dumb risks seldom goes away. That danger
piles up and consumes an ever-increasing portion of our vital resources – people,
time and cash. Let’s take a brief look at how this plays out in our companies.
Risks are pervasive in our companies – they are a part of everything
we do, even the events we see as positive opportunities. Risks – also
called “threats” – are the flipside of every new opportunity.
Every new sale, new innovation, new distribution channel, new supplier, new
employee or new financial stakeholder brings along its own chance to stray
into expensive trouble.
Opportunities and risks pour into the top of our companies, shown in the illustration
as pouring into the funnel. The CEO’s management team makes a decision
with each one. Regardless of whether their decision is to take a smart risk
or dumb risk, each decision consumes some of your resources. The illustration’s “Resources” box
represents 100 percent of your resources – time, capital, people.
You succeed at business – you create wealth - by taking smart risks and
building a string of economic hits. Each hit returns a small amount of value
to your Resources. Of course, not all smart risks succeed. Sometimes you smart
risk will fail to become what you had hoped to achieve. Opps! But you learn
and gain something, even if it’s only knowledge, even from these failed
smart risks. Knowledge is a highly prized resource.
Sometimes you decide to take a dumb risk. When confronted by a threat, you
might tell your staff, “Give me just the minimum protection I need to
get by today.” In essence, you create a “patch” over a problem.
Over time you create a string of patches. Over time the patches will break.
They consistently fail over time, so the risk you had hoped to manage returns
to a loose and dangerous state. And, of course, sometimes we simply choose
to ignore risk. This is a logical choice if the risk has little economic consequence – but
it is an unwise choice if the risk’s economic consequence can seriously
damage your company or distract your focus away from profit-making activities.
Patches break. Ignored risks come to life. Big trouble erupts and gets our
immediate attention. Smart risks get put on the back burner until the fire
is out and the damage is repaired. Your best executives and managers become
firefighters, and these precious resources are consumed in firefighting. As
dumb risks build over time, and as the growth rate of risks accelerates, firefighting
consumes an ever-larger share of your limited resources – the resources
you need in order to pursue smart risks.
You make a lousy economic return on assets when you consume them in firefighting.
There is no way to make money playing this game. You must break the cycle before
a big risk bites you hard – and breaks you.
You can break this cycle of risk with an amazingly simple solution, in a manner
is that probably easier and much less expensive than you expect - a professional
business process called PreAct™.
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